俄罗斯恢复小麦出口

Russia, once the world\'s third largest wheat exporter, is returning to the international grain market after a one-year gap caused by severe crop losses.

俄罗斯在去年粮食大幅度减产之后曾决定停止向国际市场出售粮食。但由于预计今年年景看好，这个世界第三大小麦出口国已经从7月1号开始恢复粮食出口。

Moscow stopped selling wheat last year after catastrophic fires and drought destroyed one-third of the country’s crop. The Kremlin banned exports to assure there would be adequate grain supplies for the domestic market, but this year\'s crop was better than expected, and foreign sales of Russian wheat are resuming.

由于火灾和干旱等自然灾难，俄罗斯去年粮食生产减产三分之一。为了确保国内市场稳定，克里姆林宫去年决定禁止粮食出口。但是今年年景比预计的要好，所以从七月一号开始俄罗斯恢复向国际市场供应粮食。

Andrei Sizov is an executive at SovEcon, an agricultural consulting firm in Moscow that focuses on market news from Russia and the surrounding region. He is confident that this year’s Russian harvest will result in millions of tons of surplus grain for export, but says it may be difficult for the country to regain its stature in export markets immediately.

从事俄罗斯及周边国家农产品市场研究的莫斯科农业咨询公司的经理斯佐夫说，在满足了国内市场之后，俄罗斯今年可以有上千万顿的剩余粮食可供出口。但在另一方面，俄罗斯也可能很难立即重新成为国际市场上举足轻重的粮食出口大国。

"We expect that total Russia grain export will be around 15 million tons, maybe some more," said Sizov. "It will depend on demand and world prices."

他说，“我们预计俄罗斯今年的粮食出口在1500万吨左右，也可能会更多，这取决于市场需求和国际市场的粮食价格。”

That export forecast depends on a total Russian harvest of 85-90 million tons of grain this year. Based on rainfall in May and June, meteorologists do not expect a repeat of last year’s drought conditions.

俄罗斯今年的产量预计在8900万吨到9000万吨之间。气象学家根据五、六月份的降雨量推测说，今年俄罗斯不会发生去年那样的干旱。

库尔斯克地区一家农场的经理基拉穆索夫认为，今年收成可能会很不错。

Depending on the weather, he says, average Russian wheat harvests range from 3 to 4.7 tons of grain per hectare.

他说，他们认为今年俄罗斯平均的小麦收成能在一公顷3到4.7吨之间，当然具体还要看雨水怎么样。

This year, Khramtsov says, favorable weather conditions will ensure his farm\'s yield will be over 4 tons per hectare.

而在他们这一地区，今年天公作美，收成肯定会超过一公顷4吨。

Russian officials say they intend to monitor domestic conditions closely as the country\'s exports increase. If prices start to rise at home, they say they have six million tons of grain in reserve to stabilize prices.

俄罗斯政府表示，在恢复出口的同时，他们将密切注视国内粮食市场的走向，一旦价格开始走高，他们将储备600万吨粮食用于稳定市场。